Group

How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election?

68 comments68

113 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 34

Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Scottish National Party

Sinn Féin

Reform

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>59
community	2.58	3.709	4.353	0.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	2.58	—
median	3.709	—
upper 75%	4.353	—
Upper bound
>59	0.1%	—

What was the final result?4

Community Peer Score

1.2

Authors:

adamcorlett casens

Opened:

Aug 19, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2024

Elections

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Poll: Reform Largest Party But Euro-Coalition Could Rob Farage of Power

Breitbart•Jun 26, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

How many seats will each party win in the 2025 Czech legislative election?

6.46

How many seats in the Canadian House of Commons will these parties win in the 2025 federal election?

0.995

Authors:

adamcorlett casens

Opened:

Aug 19, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2024

Elections

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Poll: Reform Largest Party But Euro-Coalition Could Rob Farage of Power

Breitbart•Jun 26, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

How many seats will each party win in the 2025 Czech legislative election?

6.46

How many seats in the Canadian House of Commons will these parties win in the 2025 federal election?

0.995