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136 forecasters

What will be the sum of the performance (in exaFLOPS) of the top 500 supercomputers in the following dates?

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Authors:
casens
Opened:Dec 14, 2020
Closed:Apr 14, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jul 31, 2030
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What will be the speed (in FLOPS) of the fastest supercomputer on record in the following years?

2023
1.2×10¹⁸
2025
3×10¹⁸
2032
8.2×10¹⁹
2 others
69 forecasters

What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?

2023
5×10²⁵
2025
4.4×10²⁶
2032
2.3×10²⁹
2 others
93 forecasters

What will be total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years?

2023
168.2B
2025
634B
2032
1.86T
2 others
74 forecasters
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