31 comments
77 forecasters
What will be the maximum compute (in petaFLOPS-days) ever used in training an AI experiment by the following dates?
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
Authors:
Opened:Jan 14, 2021
Closed:Mar 14, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2030
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?
90 forecasters
Will the estimated training FLOPs of any exfiltrated AI exceed the indicated amount before the indicated year?
What will the most expensive AI training run be in the following years, in millions of USD?
25 forecasters