64 comments
1.4k forecasters
Will elective abortion be banned nationally in the United States before 2030?
12%chance
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 28, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 29, 2022
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In what percent of US States will Casey-era abortion rights be granted on May 1, 2026?
53.2%
(43.9 - 61.3)
53.2%
(43.9 - 61.3)
29 forecasters
Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026?
6% chance
1.1k
Will the US codify IVF protections at a federal level by 2030?
75% chance
7