1.4k forecasters

Will elective abortion be banned nationally in the United States before 2030?

12%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jun 28, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 29, 2022

Planned Parenthood's Medicaid funding can be blocked for now, appeals court rules

CBS•Sep 12, 2025

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Slate•Sep 6, 2025

RFK Jr hints access to key abortion drug could be cut back

Guardian•Sep 5, 2025

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