Question
Will there be a large-scale armed conflict in Russia before 2030?
Total Forecasters1593
Community Prediction27% (18% - 35%)
Make a Prediction
Almost half of Russians want Putin to open talks to end the war in Ukraine, indicating potential domestic pressure for policy change.
Putin won the 2024 Russian election with 87% of the vote, indicating strong political control and consolidation of power.
Authors:
Opened:Jun 28, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 28, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030