28 forecasters

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

60%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Jul 21, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2032

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2032

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 23, 2022

The question for the NSW Liberals after the Kiama drubbing is: can anyone do better than Mark Speakman?

Guardian•Sep 14, 2025

Labor is favoured to win the Kiama byelection. A big loss could be the beginning of the end for Liberal leader Mark Speakman

Guardian•Sep 11, 2025

The rules of political gravity have set in for Jacinta Nampijinpa Price – but the Coalition is still in a dangerous limbo

Guardian•Sep 10, 2025

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