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152
forecasters
What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?
Orthomyxoviridae
58%
Other 24 known HIVF
25%
Coronaviridae
15%
1 other
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Orthomyxoviridae
Other 24 known HIVF
Coronaviridae
Others (1)
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Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Jul 8, 2022
Closed:
Jan 10, 2025
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2032
Biosecurity Tournament Long-Term
Biosecurity Tournament
Health & Pandemics
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News Match
The next pandemic could rattle civilization — and a new book warns we’re not ready for it
New York Post
•
Sep 8, 2025
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about Metaculus NewsMatch
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