Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
5
comments
152
forecasters
What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?
Orthomyxoviridae
58%
Other 24 known HIVF
25%
Coronaviridae
15%
1 other
Share
Comments
Timeline
In the News
Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Orthomyxoviridae
Other 24 known HIVF
Coronaviridae
Others (1)
Resolution Criteria
Background Info
Follow
embed
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Jul 8, 2022
Closed:
Jan 10, 2025
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2032
Biosecurity Tournament Long-Term
Biosecurity Tournament
Health & Pandemics
🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard
News Match
H9N2 Bird Flu Virus Could Pose Human Pandemic Risk, Experts Warn
Scientific American
•
Oct 29, 2025
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
8%
chance
161
Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?
15%
chance
8
Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?
40%
chance
65
Show More Questions
