Your submission is now a Draft.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

You have been invited to co-author this question.

When it is ready, the author will submit it for review by Community Moderators. Thanks for helping!


This question now needs to be reviewed by Community Moderators.

We have high standards for question quality. We also favor questions on our core topic areas or that we otherwise judge valuable. We may not publish questions that are not a good fit.

If your question has not received attention within a week, or is otherwise pressing, you may request review by tagging @moderators in a comment.

You have been invited to co-author this question.

It now needs to be approved by Community Moderators. Thanks for helping!


{{qctrl.question.predictionCount() | abbrNumber}} predictions
{{"myPredictionLabel" | translate}}:  
{{ qctrl.question.resolutionString() }}
{{qctrl.question.predictionCount() | abbrNumber}} predictions
My score: {{qctrl.question.player_log_score | logScorePrecision}}
Created by: chr04a3880cc9cc47d8 and
co-authors , {{coauthor.username}}

Make a Prediction


The field of nuclear security is experiencing a major shake-up. Last summer, the MacArthur Foundation announced that it was withdrawing, which some observers called "a big blow' and others said came at "the worst possible time".

With some new organizations (like Longview) stepping in, however, the actual level of funding shortfall, if any, is unclear.

This question is designed to provide guidance to potential philanthropists looking to assess the overall funding levels of nuclear security 3 years into future.