Question
How many confirmed children will Elon Musk have by end of 2025?
Total Forecasters28
Community Prediction
13.9 children
(12.8 children - 14.3 children)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <9 | 3.8% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 12.76 | — |
| median | 13.94 | — |
| upper 75% | 14.32 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >20 | 1.0% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 11, 2022
Closes:Jul 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 13, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Jul 11, 2022
Closes:Jul 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 13, 2022