MetaculusM

Question

Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?

15

Total Forecasters178

Community Prediction2%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2%

median 2.0%mean 3.7%

Authors:

Dumbledores_Army

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

2014 Scottish independence referendum

European Single Market

Conservative Party (UK)

Nicola Sturgeon

2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum

Scottish National Party

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Dumbledores_Army

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

2014 Scottish independence referendum

European Single Market

Conservative Party (UK)

Nicola Sturgeon

2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum

Scottish National Party