24 comments
192 forecasters
Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?
2%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 12, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 14, 2022
When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?
55% chance
163
When will the next Scottish independence referendum be held?
Oct 2032
(11 Oct 2029 - >Jan 2035)
Oct 2032
(11 Oct 2029 - >Jan 2035)
65 forecasters
Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?
1% chance
281