4 comments
9 forecasters
How many Congresspeople will be endorsed by the Democratic Socialists of America on January 4th, 2031?
Current estimate
10.8 congresspeople
Key Factors
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jul 24, 2022
Closes:Oct 16, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 5, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 26, 2022
Will AOC be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, 2028, or 2032?
10% chance
180
Will the Democrats control the House of Representatives at any point before Jan 3, 2027?
10% chance
21
Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?
1.5% chance
103