69 comments
175 forecasters
When will an AI first pass a long, informed, adversarial Turing test?
Current estimate
10 May 2029
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
Opened:Jul 19, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 20, 2022
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