🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many estimated cases of Marburg virus (MARV) will occur globally in 2022?

Resolved :44.06
3
9
Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction4.06 (3.2 - 5.86)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>100M
...
...
...
...
3.199
4.059
5.856
0.1%

What was the final result?4

Community Baseline Score
118.4
Community Peer Score
34.3
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2022-2023 Leaderboard
Infectious disease
Serbia
Germany
AIDS in Africa
Marburg virus disease
Sub-Saharan Africa
Medicine
Virology
Ghana

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