6
45 forecasters
Long Bets series: Will Tesla have been the first company with 1 million SAE Level 4 autonomy on over 90% of public roads in the contiguous United States by January 1st 2037?
74%chance
Top Key Factors
FSD already work with low intervetions arounf the US
Increases Likelihood
Current robotaxis are non-modified Teslas
Increases Likelihood
Tesla has a robotaxi fleet in Austin
Increases Likelihood