Question

Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025?

Resolved:No

15 comments15

Total Forecasters74

Community Prediction

0.1%

(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

75.6

Community Peer Score

10.4

Authors:

demirev

Opened:

Aug 12, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 14, 2022

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