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When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election?
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| Election | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
> 2052 | 60% | |||
2024 | no | |||
2028 | 1% | |||
2032 | 5% | |||
2036 | 4% | |||
2040 | 6% | |||
2044 | 14.3% | |||
2048 | 10% | |||
2052 | 12.7% | |||
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Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 17
Authors:
Opened:Aug 15, 2022
Closes:Nov 4, 2052
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2052
Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?
1%
How many states will have legally enforceable rules that are at least as stringent as Advanced Clean Cars II on January 1 of the following years?
14.4
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Authors:
Opened:Aug 15, 2022
Closes:Nov 4, 2052
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2052
Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?
1%
How many states will have legally enforceable rules that are at least as stringent as Advanced Clean Cars II on January 1 of the following years?
14.4