110 forecasters

Will the UK have a Labour government before June 2030?

99%chance

99%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 5, 2022

Closes:

May 30, 2030

Resolved:

Jul 5, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 7, 2022

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Britain’s Labour Party has already lost out

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