Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
2
25
forecasters
4
2 comments
25 forecasters
Health & Pandemics
Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?
Predict
Follow
share
embed
70%
chance
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (2)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
4 comments
21 forecasters
TB Biologic Therapy by 2038
61.7%
chance
17 comments
18 forecasters
Date of M72 license from WHO-listed regulator?
Current estimate
Dec 2031
18 comments
21 forecasters
What will be the efficacy of the M72 TB vaccine?
Current estimate
45.8%
21 comments
20 forecasters
MTBVAC efficacy in IMAGINE phase 2 clinical trial?
Current estimate
34.3%
28 comments
20 forecasters
# of people vaccinated with MTBVAC before 2040?
Current estimate
241M People
26 comments
19 forecasters
# of people vaccinated with M72 before 2040?
Current estimate
208M People
24 comments
20 forecasters
Lower efficacy bound for M72 TB vaccine?
Current estimate
18.8%
20 comments
19 forecasters
Lower efficacy bound for MTBVAC vaccine?
Current estimate
1.64%