37 comments
88 forecasters
Will PredictIt be open for trading in the US on March 16, 2023?
99%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 10, 2022
Closes:Mar 14, 2023
Resolved:Mar 15, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 12, 2022
Will real-money betting on Polymarket or Manifold become legal in the United States in 2025?
67% chance
1.2k
Will the US government order the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or NASDAQ to be closed before January 20, 2029?
10% chance
150
Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?
65% chance
985