Question

Will any current provincial level administrative divisions of China formally declare independence from China before 2050?

7
1
Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction
40%
(19% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 40%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:Aug 15, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 17, 2022
Geopolitics