37 forecasters

Will any current provincial level administrative divisions of China formally declare independence from China before 2050?

41%chance

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Aug 15, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 17, 2022