Question

Will the study “Knowledge about others reduces one’s own sense of anonymity” (Nature, 2022) replicate?

Resolved:No

6 comments6

Total Forecasters53

Community Prediction

71%

(70% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 71%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-37.7

Community Peer Score

3.4

Authors:

nikos

Opened:

Oct 3, 2022

Closes:

Nov 14, 2022

Resolves:

Nov 23, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 3, 2022

Transparent Replications

Social Sciences

2022 Leaderboard

Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?

Before 2030, will C. elegans be uploaded to the satisfaction of top computational neuroscientists?

33%

Will quantum effects be widely accepted as responsible for consciousness before 2075?

10%

Authors:

nikos

Opened:

Oct 3, 2022

Closes:

Nov 14, 2022

Resolves:

Nov 23, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 3, 2022

Transparent Replications

Social Sciences

2022 Leaderboard

Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?

Before 2030, will C. elegans be uploaded to the satisfaction of top computational neuroscientists?

33%

Will quantum effects be widely accepted as responsible for consciousness before 2075?

10%