Question

When will the Total Fertility Rate in the United States reach 2.1 (the level conventionally associated with replacement fertility)?

Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction
>Jan 2073
(Jan 2059 - >Jan 2073)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%Jan 2059
median>Jan 2073
upper 75%>Jan 2073
Upper bound
>Jan 207351.4%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Nov 20, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2073
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2073
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 22, 2022