35 comments
159 forecasters
Will cost of living riots happen in the UK before March 1, 2023?
0.6%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 24, 2022
Closes:Mar 1, 2023
Resolved:Mar 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 26, 2022
Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?
70% chance
79
What will inflation in the UK be, given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest?
14 forecasters
Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?
30% chance
27