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3
61
forecasters
23
3 comments
61 forecasters
Economy & Business
2 more...
Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?
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SpaceX
72%
NASA
23%
CNSA
20%
ESA
1%
Roscosmos
1%
1d
1w
2m
all
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An uncrewed craft
48%
At least one person
4%
At least one person—and return them to Earth
1.6%
Elon Musk
0.1%
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First crewed mission by space agency
KARI
Dec 2032
JAXA
Nov 2032
ESA
Aug 2032
ISRO
15 Mar 2029
16 comments
370 forecasters
NASA Lands People on Mars before 2030
0.1%
chance