13 comments
21 forecasters
Will the Kenyan Supreme court nullify the results of the 2022 Presidential Election?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 22, 2022
Closes:Sep 6, 2022
Resolved:Sep 5, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 24, 2022
Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?
10% chance
138
Will a U.S. federal or state court prevent certification of any statewide election result in the following years because of fraud?
45 forecasters
Will Alassane Ouattara win 80% or more of the first round vote in the 2025 presidential election of Ivory Coast (Côte d'Ivoire)?
75% chance
49