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25 forecasters
Will 'No Religion' responses represent at least 50% of the Australian population in the 2026 census?
40%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 26, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 28, 2022
What percent of the global population will identify as "religiously unaffiliated" in 2050?
21.2%
(16.7 - 26.5)
21.2%
(16.7 - 26.5)
117 forecasters
Will the Coalition win the next Australian federal election? (2028)
20% chance
12
Will the National Party win more seats than the Liberal Party in an election for the Australian House of Representatives before 2035?
8% chance
11