Question
What will the US life expectancy be in 2023?
Resolved:78.4Total Forecasters46
Community Prediction
77.6
(76.6 - 78.3)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<65 | 0.1% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 76.63 | — |
median | 77.56 | — |
upper 75% | 78.33 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>85 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?78.4
Community Baseline Score
52.1
Community Peer Score
16.9
Authors:
Opened:Sep 7, 2022
Closes:Aug 1, 2024
Resolves:Feb 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 9, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Sep 7, 2022
Closes:Aug 1, 2024
Resolves:Feb 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 9, 2022