Question
When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI)?
Resolved:03 Feb 2025 12:00Total Forecasters42
Community Prediction
28 Nov 2025
(01 Mar 2025 - 17 Dec 2026)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 01 Mar 2025 | — |
| median | 28 Nov 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | 17 Dec 2026 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2079 | 0.2% | — |
What was the final result?03 Feb 2025 12:00
Community Baseline Score
4.2
Community Peer Score
0.9
Authors:
Opened:Sep 13, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2079
Resolves:Dec 31, 2079
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 15, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Sep 13, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2079
Resolves:Dec 31, 2079
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 15, 2022