40 forecasters

Will the creators of any iteration of AlphaFold win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

99%chance

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 26, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Resolved:

Oct 9, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 27, 2022