290 comments

735 forecasters

Will at least one nuclear weapon be detonated in Ukraine before 2023?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 26, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 26, 2022

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