111 forecasters

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

0.1%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

Forecast Timeline

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 27, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 29, 2022

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch