Question

When will total worldwide nuclear disarmament occur?

7
1
Total Forecasters12
Community Prediction
2201
(2111 - >2222)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%2111—
median2201—
upper 75%>2222—
Upper bound
>222243.6%—
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
ForkLeaf
Opened:Oct 3, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2222
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2223
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 5, 2022
Technology
Geopolitics