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Who will be the next #1 FIDE-ranked chess player?

13
13
62 forecasters

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Fabiano Caruana
21%
Dommaraju Gukesh
15%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
14%
Alireza Firouzja
13%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
10%
Arjun Erigaisi
8%
Hikaru Nakamura
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
3%
Ding Liren
2%
Wesley So
1%
Anish Giri
1%
Vincent Keymer
1%
Parham Maghsoodloo
1%
Hans Moke Niemann
1%
Richard Rapport
0.5%
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Opened:Sep 30, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040