13 comments
65 forecasters
Who will be the next #1 FIDE-ranked chess player?
Fabiano Caruana20%
Dommaraju Gukesh15%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov13%
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 30, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
When will Magnus Carlsen no longer be the top FIDE-ranked chess player?
10 Aug 2026
(09 Sep 2025 - 26 Oct 2028)
10 Aug 2026
(09 Sep 2025 - 26 Oct 2028)
31 forecasters
Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
8 forecasters
When will Alireza Firouzja be the top FIDE-ranked chess player?
Mar 2033
(31 May 2028 - >Jan 2035)
Mar 2033
(31 May 2028 - >Jan 2035)
28 forecasters