93 forecasters

What will be the share of people living in countries where same-sex marriage is legal in the following years?

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

2025

2032

2052

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 19, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2123

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 2, 2123

Forecasting Our World in Data

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Hong Kong rejects bill that would have given limited rights to same-sex couples who married abroad

Independent•Sep 11, 2025

Politicians in at least 51 countries used anti-LGBTQ+ rhetoric during elections, NGO finds

Guardian•Sep 11, 2025

Activists worked for years on a Hong Kong same-sex partnership bill, but a tough vote remains

PBS NewsHour•Sep 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch