Question
When will Kwasi Kwarteng no longer hold the office of UK chancellor of the Exchequer?
Resolved:14 Oct 2022 07:00Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction
18 Oct 2022 15:00
(11 Oct 2022 05:27 - 03 Nov 2022)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 11 Oct 2022 05:27 | — |
| median | 18 Oct 2022 15:00 | — |
| upper 75% | 03 Nov 2022 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >01 Jan 2025 | 4.4% | — |
What was the final result?14 Oct 2022 07:00
Community Baseline Score
0.7
Community Peer Score
0.9
Authors:
Opened:Oct 3, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Dec 31, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 5, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Oct 3, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Dec 31, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 5, 2022