48 forecasters

Will there be a collision or ramming incident between a military vessel or military aircraft of Russia or Belarus, and one of a NATO country, before 2024?

20%chance

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 20% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 2, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolved:

Mar 14, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 4, 2022

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