38 comments
95 forecasters
Will MDMA be FDA-approved for the treatment of PTSD before 2025?
0.1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 4, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolved:Jan 5, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 6, 2022
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Will the next step for the medical approval of psychedelics for mental health be taken in the US in 2025?
3% chance
216
Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will Psilocybin be a clinically approved treatment for end-of-life anxiety by 2027?
63% chance
177
In how many of the 50 US states will it be legal to use psilocybin for therapy on December 31, 2025?
3.65 states
(2.34 - 6.68)
3.65 states
(2.34 - 6.68)
61 forecasters