Question

When will the FDA approve the first disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson's disease?

Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction
May 2031
(24 Feb 2029 - Jan 2034)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%24 Feb 2029
medianMay 2031
upper 75%Jan 2034
Upper bound
>Jan 20501.6%
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 24, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 26, 2022