Question

If Taiwan declares independence by 2035, will the United States appoint an ambassador within a year?

2
9
Total Forecasters45
Community Prediction
60%
(43.7% - 69%)

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50%
community: 60%
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Authors:
Cato
Opened:Oct 25, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 27, 2022
Geopolitics