46 forecasters

If Taiwan declares independence by 2035, will the United States appoint an ambassador within a year?

60%chance

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 25, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2036

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 27, 2022

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