Question

Will Taiwan/Republic of China declare independence by 2035?

18
9
Total Forecasters133
Community Prediction
16%
(10% - 32%)

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50%
community: 16%
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Authors:
Cato
Opened:Oct 19, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 21, 2022
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Geopolitics