135 forecasters

Will Taiwan/Republic of China declare independence by 2035?

18%chance

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 19, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 1, 2035

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 21, 2022

The Taiwan Tinderbox

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