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9
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135
forecasters
Will Taiwan/Republic of China declare independence by 2035?
18%
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Authors:
Cato
Opened:
Oct 19, 2022
Closes:
Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:
Feb 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:
Oct 21, 2022
The Taiwan Tinderbox
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Nov 5, 2025
Trump claims Xi told him China won’t act against Taiwan while he is US president
Independent
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Nov 3, 2025
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