Question

Will there be a large-scale radioactive contamination of a German territory by 2024?

Resolved:No
9
3
Total Forecasters99
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
98.6
Community Peer Score
6.2
Authors:
tryingToPredictFuture
Opened:Oct 8, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 9, 2022
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Computing and Math
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