19 comments
104 forecasters
How does the level of existential risk posed by AGI depend on its arrival time?
2022-10-10 to 2024-12-3153%
2025-01-01 to 2029-12-3140%
2030-01-01 to 2039-12-3129%
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Opened:Oct 8, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2125
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2125