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How many people in the world will live on $10 (2011 INT USD) or less per day in the following years?

73 forecasters

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Year

median

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CDF

	<4.4B	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>5B
community	1.8%	4.575B	4.628B	4.701B	1.9%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<4.4B	1.8%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	4.575B	—
median	4.628B	—
upper 75%	4.701B	—
Upper bound
>5B	1.9%	—

Resolved

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 59

2023

2025

2032

2052

2122

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Oct 12, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2123

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2127

Forecasting Our World in Data

Social Sciences

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4.81

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2.76

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