Group

What will productivity be in the United States in the following years?

69 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Year

median

PDF

CDF

	<55 $/h	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>200 $/h
community	0.4%	84.57 $/h	91.55 $/h	101.4 $/h	1.5%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<55 $/h	0.4%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	84.57 $/h	—
median	91.55 $/h	—
upper 75%	101.4 $/h	—
Upper bound
>200 $/h	1.5%	—

Closed for forecasting

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 41

2023

2025

2032

2052

2122

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Oct 12, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2123

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2126

Forecasting Our World in Data

Economy & Business

Technology

•Jul 3, 2025

A Scientist Says Humans Will Reach the Singularity Within 20 Years

•Jun 30, 2025

The Birth-Rate Crisis Isn’t as Bad as You’ve Heard—It’s Worse

Atlantic•Jun 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will world real GDP growth per capita be in the following years?

2.76

What will be total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years?

509B

What will be the Gross World Product (in trillions of 2020 USD) in the following years?

105